Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.003038 0.003337 0.003657 0.004023 0.004432 0.004876 0.005394
2026-02-01 0.002540 0.002962 0.003444 0.004037 0.004751 0.005586 0.006644
2026-02-08 0.002217 0.002690 0.003255 0.003986 0.004911 0.006054 0.007586
2026-02-15 0.001968 0.002463 0.003077 0.003900 0.004988 0.006392 0.008365
2026-02-22 0.001815 0.002334 0.002998 0.003919 0.005182 0.006877 0.009364
2026-03-01 0.001723 0.002270 0.002991 0.004023 0.005488 0.007526 0.010642
2026-03-08 0.001585 0.002133 0.002871 0.003956 0.005541 0.007818 0.011426
2026-03-15 0.001465 0.002007 0.002754 0.003880 0.005568 0.008066 0.012157
2026-03-22 0.001375 0.001917 0.002680 0.003855 0.005664 0.008416 0.013072
2026-03-29 0.001314 0.001864 0.002653 0.003896 0.005858 0.008930 0.014295
2026-04-05 0.001233 0.001774 0.002565 0.003836 0.005887 0.009177 0.015094
2026-04-12 0.001165 0.001700 0.002494 0.003796 0.005941 0.009468 0.015990
2026-04-19 0.001095 0.001621 0.002416 0.003744 0.005982 0.009755 0.016943
2026-04-26 0.001045 0.001571 0.002380 0.003757 0.006134 0.010250 0.018342
2026-05-03 0.000987 0.001504 0.002310 0.003710 0.006177 0.010553 0.019408
2026-05-10 0.000928 0.001430 0.002227 0.003631 0.006156 0.010736 0.020258
2026-05-17 0.000893 0.001393 0.002200 0.003648 0.006308 0.011250 0.021832
2026-05-24 0.000875 0.001384 0.002218 0.003744 0.006610 0.012077 0.024162
2026-05-31 0.000829 0.001326 0.002151 0.003682 0.006609 0.012311 0.025241
2026-06-07 0.000786 0.001270 0.002082 0.003612 0.006587 0.012497 0.026235
2026-06-14 0.000754 0.001230 0.002040 0.003589 0.006654 0.012871 0.027705
2026-06-21 0.000733 0.001210 0.002032 0.003627 0.006845 0.013520 0.029905
2026-06-28 0.000700 0.001165 0.001976 0.003571 0.006840 0.013750 0.031117